Published August 21, 2020
As we head toward September and October, it’s worthwhile to remind ourselves that these months can be dangerous for stock investors. That’s particularly true in an election year. (more…)
Financial crisis
Crazy Market Provides Profit Opportunities
Published March 20, 2020
As we go to press here on Thursday, it’s been five full weeks since we had two consecutive positive days in the stock market. Over the past four weeks the S&P 500 has lost 1000 points (an almost -30% drop). That’s an astoundingly bearish run. (more…)
Markets Will Continue to Encounter Lots of Fog
Published January 18, 2019
We find the folks at Schwab, led by Liz Ann Sonders, to provide a good overview of the intersection of markets and the economy. Below is their most recent analysis – a bit lengthy. But we think it’s worthwhile. Enjoy! (more…)
Was January the Market Peak?
Published April 27, 2018
In September of 2007 emerging market stocks ripped higher posting a +10% gain for the month. You would be forgiven for thinking that the market-leading group was merely continuing its 4+ year party, after having already risen four-fold. (more…)
Knowing Whether the Market Prefers Risk or Safety
Published April 13, 2018
With our TimingCube Turbo model we are either on a Buy signal or a Sell signal, holding a long position (Buy) or a short position (Sell). While we are taking risk with any signal, (we could win or lose) most investors take a single view of the market, as either going up (winning) or going down (losing). The market is either “risk-on” or “risk-off”. It would seem easy to tell whether the market is happy or not by whether it is rising or falling. However, that simple approach doesn’t necessarily tell the story. (more…)
Stocks Outside the U.S. Blast Off
Published December 15, 2017
Outside the U.S. the post-financial crisis rally has been a halting affair, occurring in two major steps higher. Unlike the U.S., each step was greeted with some misgivings as Europe wrestled with its new currency and European Union financial structure while China’s economy digested a massive wave of growth in the prior decade. (more…)
A New Bull Market
Published September 22, 2017
While many in the industry speculate on the coming end to a years-long bull market, there are others who argue that the bull market has just begun. How does this disagreement come about? (more…)