Published August 15,2025
Long-time stock market watchers continue to be confounded by the market’s resilience. A good part of this underlying strength comes from the attitudes of today’s newest generation of investors. A recent article from the Wall Street Journal outlines the mindset of today’s young investors: (more…)
Published August 21, 2020
As we head toward September and October, it’s worthwhile to remind ourselves that these months can be dangerous for stock investors. That’s particularly true in an election year. (more…)
Published March 20, 2020
As we go to press here on Thursday, it’s been five full weeks since we had two consecutive positive days in the stock market. Over the past four weeks the S&P 500 has lost 1000 points (an almost -30% drop). That’s an astoundingly bearish run. (more…)
Published January 18, 2019
We find the folks at Schwab, led by Liz Ann Sonders, to provide a good overview of the intersection of markets and the economy. Below is their most recent analysis – a bit lengthy. But we think it’s worthwhile. Enjoy! (more…)
Published April 27, 2018
In September of 2007 emerging market stocks ripped higher posting a +10% gain for the month. You would be forgiven for thinking that the market-leading group was merely continuing its 4+ year party, after having already risen four-fold. (more…)
Published April 13, 2018
With our TimingCube Turbo model we are either on a Buy signal or a Sell signal, holding a long position (Buy) or a short position (Sell). While we are taking risk with any signal, (we could win or lose) most investors take a single view of the market, as either going up (winning) or going down (losing). The market is either “risk-on” or “risk-off”. It would seem easy to tell whether the market is happy or not by whether it is rising or falling. However, that simple approach doesn’t necessarily tell the story. (more…)
Published December 15, 2017
Outside the U.S. the post-financial crisis rally has been a halting affair, occurring in two major steps higher. Unlike the U.S., each step was greeted with some misgivings as Europe wrestled with its new currency and European Union financial structure while China’s economy digested a massive wave of growth in the prior decade. (more…)
Published September 22, 2017
While many in the industry speculate on the coming end to a years-long bull market, there are others who argue that the bull market has just begun. How does this disagreement come about? (more…)