Author: fdacic

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Sell in May, but Only Every Few Years

Published March 23, 2018


The theory of “sell in May and go away” is well-known in investment circles. Here is a summary of the theory from CNBC’s Bob Pisani:

It’s that time again: May. Springtime, and time to revisit that old adage — sell in May and go away.
I’ve written many times about this, probably the most famous of Wall Street saws, so I’ll keep this short. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Broad Stock Indexes Are Not yet Strong Enough to Push Higher

Published March 16, 2018


Last week we highlighted some of the sectors that were showing unusual strength in the market. We have pointed out how our favored Nasdaq 100 index (QQQ) has been leading the market. This week we will look at some of the other broad market indexes to give you a sense that this is still a market, broadly, that is digesting its low-volatility 2017 gains. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Higher Interest Rates Won’t Kill the Stock Market

Published March 2, 2018


This week we share some good information from a webcast given by Charlie Bilello of Pension Partners. The first chart shows the downward trend of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Note the green arrows as the yield hits the upper portion of the channel. We are sitting right at the top of the channel. Do we want to see yields break through to the upside? (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

The Bear Awakens and TimingCube Responds Well

Published February 9, 2018


After two years of nearly non-stop gains punctuated by a vertical ascent to kick off 2018, the stock market finally ran out of gas this week. Those two years brought investors a +60% return in the S&P 500 and a +75% rise in our focus Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) index. This rally was of historic length and ease, with volatility dormant. This week, the bears got their long-awaited time to shine. Not one but two days of 1000 point plunges in the Dow Jones Industrial Average – each a record for raw point declines in the index. Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning saw volatility unleashed in a fury never seen before; the evaporation of one or more volatility-based securities causing a run on the volatility futures market. (more…)


Humans Are Built to Be Bad Investors

Published February 2, 2018


This week we offer a post on the psychology of investing from Urban Carmel’s blog. The emotional challenges presented here are a major reason why we at TimingCube strongly prefer our quantitative models that REMOVE the emotion from our investing decisions. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Biotech Joins the Nasdaq Par

Published January 26, 2018


Almost a full eleven months ago we wrote about a coming change of fortune for biotech stocks.  It appeared back in March 2017 that the group, after 18 months of pain and an almost 50% plunge in price, was about to launch a new bullish period.  It took quite a bit longer than expected, but we are pleased to announce that this week the group finally achieved full-out liftoff! (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

The Dow Industrial’s Badass Stock

Published January 19, 2018


The stock market’s near non-stop rise over the past two years has been led by the FAANG stocks – Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google (Alphabet). This handful of tech/consumer heavyweights accounts for well over a third of the market-leading Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). They have risen between +50% and +140% since the beginning of 2016, the start date of the current rally. While the rapid ascent and overwhelming near-monopoly power of these transforming companies is well-known by all stock investors, there is another very big company that eclipsed them all … and by a wide margin. (more…)