Published January 21, 2022
Markets have struggled mightily so far in 2022 as looming Fed policy changes merge with Omicron-fueled slowdowns and Russia-Ukraine tensions to put investors on edge. Growth stocks, presumably more sensitive to rising interest rates, have stumbled the most. (more…)
Published January 14, 2022
Last week we discussed the interest rate surge taking place at the beginning of 2022. This surge has driven a major shift in favored sectors. Cyclical “value” sectors like energy and financials have become the market darlings. (more…)
Published January 7, 2022
Markets have kicked off 2022 with a bit of a bang. Interest rates have surged higher as investors bet that the Federal Reserve will act quickly to tamp down nascent inflation and return interest rates to their pre-pandemic levels. (more…)
Published December 31, 2021
We can think of few other aspects of life that have changed so dramatically from the pandemic as employment and the job market. Radiating outward from the changes in the job market, wages are the most critical component of inflation, a huge buzzword in 2021. If wages have been permanently kick-started into a regime of growth, then inflation will remain far more than a transitory influence in the economy and markets. (more…)
Published December 24, 2021
Despite the broad market S&P 500 hitting new highs, this year has been one of frustration for much of the stock market. The roughly 2000 stocks that make up the small cap index have gone nowhere since February. A breakout in November offered hope that small cap stocks would join the large-cap brethren in charting new high ground. But that effort was quickly turned away. (more…)
Published December 17, 2021
This week we offer another outlook for 2022; this time from Delta. Reading various outlooks from different groups can, taken together, provide a view of what the ‘market’ expects. Note that our models rely on actual price data and do not include any forecasted information such as these outlooks. (more…)
Published December 10, 2021
Continuing from last week’s outlook for 2022, we provide the second part below, this part focused on the economy and stock valuations. (more…)
Published December 3, 2021
Stock markets have come under pressure lately as the Fed begins withdrawing stimulus and a new Covid-19 variant hits investor confidence in the economic recovery. Over the remainder of the year, we will pass along Schwab’s 2022 outlook, breaking it into a few parts covering the economy and markets. Schwab, having acquired TD Ameritrade, is the biggest retail stock broker in the country. As such, their analysis and insights can have a substantial audience and potential impact on investors. (more…)
Published November 26, 2021
In the end it is investor sentiment that drives stock prices. Optimism and enthusiasm pushes money into the market and prices higher. Pessimism and downbeat attitudes send money under the mattress and safety. Liz Ann Sonders evaluates investor sentiment in the article below. As always, it’s a mixed bag, especially given that we are in the middle of what is typically the most seasonally strong time of year. (more…)
Published November 19, 2021
Here at TimingCube we are focused on the Nasdaq 100 index, trading with the symbol QQQ. This index typically contains the most innovative and “high tech” companies in the stock market with a strong bent toward technology and consumer services. Schwab recently posted an article outlining the pros and cons of the broad tech sector, which has a very high correlation to the QQQ. We thought you might find it interesting. (more…)