volatility

Weekly Update

Is Globalization Dead?

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Published December 16, 2022

 

We found this opinion piece from Merryn Somerset Webb to be interesting as we turn our attention to 2023 projections. Ms. Webb writes for the Financial Times, among many other publications. Her commentary below obviously refers much to her home country of the UK. But many, if not most, of her observations apply globally. Of course, our models are agnostic to economic trends such as those discussed here. Instead, we focus only on the price and volume trends in the market – up or down – and attempt to react accordingly. (more…)

Weekly Update

Inflation Is Rolling Over but So Too Are Corporate Earnings(?).

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Published September 30, 2022

 

Blaine Rollins outlines the key questions facing investors these days. Here are some excerpts from his recent commentary:

“You can see the light at the end, but how much risk will you take to run down to the other end? Big returns await if you can only make it to the other side. But there is always the possibility that you make it part way and the train called ‘recession’ interrupts your path. (more…)

Weekly Update

Nasdaq’s Short-Term Rally Breaks

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Published September 4, 2020

This week’s moves in the Nasdaq 100 index (trading symbol: QQQ) offer a textbook case of the emotion that influences price movement. For days on end, the QQQ rose (blue line below), with the leading FANGMA stocks trading as if there were no price too high. Investors were fearful of missing out on the strong advance. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

A Market in Search of Leadership

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Published December 14, 2018

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2018 was supposed to be the year that financial stocks took charge. Rising interest rates were expected to provide profitable fuel for banks to substantially increase profits. Instead, financial stocks are some of the worst performers of the year. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Investing is an exercise in controlling our emotions

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Published June 22, 2018

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Here at TimingCube we are dedicated to using models to drive our investing decisions.  We recognize that investing our hard-earned money is really an exercise in regulating our emotions.  We are constantly faced with a constant flow of noise and information, much of which can cause us to make poor money decisions.  Our models don’t hear that noise.

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Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Knowing Whether the Market Prefers Risk or Safety

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Published April 13, 2018

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With our TimingCube Turbo model we are either on a Buy signal or a Sell signal, holding a long position (Buy) or a short position (Sell). While we are taking risk with any signal, (we could win or lose) most investors take a single view of the market, as either going up (winning) or going down (losing). The market is either “risk-on” or “risk-off”. It would seem easy to tell whether the market is happy or not by whether it is rising or falling. However, that simple approach doesn’t necessarily tell the story. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

So Far, so Good

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Published April 6th, 2018

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We brought TimingCube to you almost 17 years ago now for the sole purpose of providing subscribers with access to a model that both protects our investible money as well as giving us the opportunity to profit whether the market is rising or falling. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Broad Stock Indexes Are Not yet Strong Enough to Push Higher

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Published March 16, 2018

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Last week we highlighted some of the sectors that were showing unusual strength in the market. We have pointed out how our favored Nasdaq 100 index (QQQ) has been leading the market. This week we will look at some of the other broad market indexes to give you a sense that this is still a market, broadly, that is digesting its low-volatility 2017 gains. (more…)