Published December 14, 2018
2018 was supposed to be the year that financial stocks took charge. Rising interest rates were expected to provide profitable fuel for banks to substantially increase profits. Instead, financial stocks are some of the worst performers of the year. (more…)
Published December 7, 2018
Stock investors were reminded this week that the market remains unhealthy. After approaching a retest of this market correction’s lows a couple of weeks ago, stocks ripped higher last week to recover all of the ground given up the week before. This week began well. (more…)
Published June 22, 2018
Here at TimingCube we are dedicated to using models to drive our investing decisions. We recognize that investing our hard-earned money is really an exercise in regulating our emotions. We are constantly faced with a constant flow of noise and information, much of which can cause us to make poor money decisions. Our models don’t hear that noise.
Published May 11, 2018
After a nearly vertical rise in January, stocks succumbed to their steepest 10% decline ever, giving back ALL of January’s gains and then some in what amounted to three huge days of selling. (more…)
Published April 13, 2018
With our TimingCube Turbo model we are either on a Buy signal or a Sell signal, holding a long position (Buy) or a short position (Sell). While we are taking risk with any signal, (we could win or lose) most investors take a single view of the market, as either going up (winning) or going down (losing). The market is either “risk-on” or “risk-off”. It would seem easy to tell whether the market is happy or not by whether it is rising or falling. However, that simple approach doesn’t necessarily tell the story. (more…)
Published April 6th, 2018
We brought TimingCube to you almost 17 years ago now for the sole purpose of providing subscribers with access to a model that both protects our investible money as well as giving us the opportunity to profit whether the market is rising or falling. (more…)
Published March 16, 2018
Last week we highlighted some of the sectors that were showing unusual strength in the market. We have pointed out how our favored Nasdaq 100 index (QQQ) has been leading the market. This week we will look at some of the other broad market indexes to give you a sense that this is still a market, broadly, that is digesting its low-volatility 2017 gains. (more…)
Published February 9, 2018
After two years of nearly non-stop gains punctuated by a vertical ascent to kick off 2018, the stock market finally ran out of gas this week. Those two years brought investors a +60% return in the S&P 500 and a +75% rise in our focus Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) index. This rally was of historic length and ease, with volatility dormant. This week, the bears got their long-awaited time to shine. Not one but two days of 1000 point plunges in the Dow Jones Industrial Average – each a record for raw point declines in the index. Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning saw volatility unleashed in a fury never seen before; the evaporation of one or more volatility-based securities causing a run on the volatility futures market. (more…)
Published October 6, 2017
… there was nary a sign of concern, nor a hint of trouble. Yet we know October as being one of the worst months for stocks, primarily because the month has spawned a couple of major market crashes. Take those crashes away and October is a typical month in stocks. (more…)
Published July 28, 2017
We found Josh Brown’s thoughts on the current market interesting. It could be extrapolated to be a comment on investing much of the time.
The negatives:
The US stock market is now selling for close to a record high valuation. Volatility for the S&P 500 is currently registering record low readings. Brilliant hedge fund managers like David Einhorn are ringing the alarm bells over the worship of growth stocks without earnings. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on a $90 billion cash hoard, struggling to find reasonably valued assets to invest it in. Bonds are no bargain given today’s yields vs inflation, and that’s assuming rates are just steady – if they rise more quickly than expected, there will be some pain. (more…)
