volatility

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

A Market in Search of Leadership


Published December 14, 2018

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2018 was supposed to be the year that financial stocks took charge. Rising interest rates were expected to provide profitable fuel for banks to substantially increase profits. Instead, financial stocks are some of the worst performers of the year. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Investing is an exercise in controlling our emotions


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Published June 22, 2018

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Here at TimingCube we are dedicated to using models to drive our investing decisions.  We recognize that investing our hard-earned money is really an exercise in regulating our emotions.  We are constantly faced with a constant flow of noise and information, much of which can cause us to make poor money decisions.  Our models don’t hear that noise.

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Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Knowing Whether the Market Prefers Risk or Safety


Published April 13, 2018

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With our TimingCube Turbo model we are either on a Buy signal or a Sell signal, holding a long position (Buy) or a short position (Sell). While we are taking risk with any signal, (we could win or lose) most investors take a single view of the market, as either going up (winning) or going down (losing). The market is either “risk-on” or “risk-off”. It would seem easy to tell whether the market is happy or not by whether it is rising or falling. However, that simple approach doesn’t necessarily tell the story. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

So Far, so Good


Published April 6th, 2018

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We brought TimingCube to you almost 17 years ago now for the sole purpose of providing subscribers with access to a model that both protects our investible money as well as giving us the opportunity to profit whether the market is rising or falling. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Broad Stock Indexes Are Not yet Strong Enough to Push Higher


Published March 16, 2018

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Last week we highlighted some of the sectors that were showing unusual strength in the market. We have pointed out how our favored Nasdaq 100 index (QQQ) has been leading the market. This week we will look at some of the other broad market indexes to give you a sense that this is still a market, broadly, that is digesting its low-volatility 2017 gains. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

The Bear Awakens and TimingCube Responds Well


Published February 9, 2018

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After two years of nearly non-stop gains punctuated by a vertical ascent to kick off 2018, the stock market finally ran out of gas this week. Those two years brought investors a +60% return in the S&P 500 and a +75% rise in our focus Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) index. This rally was of historic length and ease, with volatility dormant. This week, the bears got their long-awaited time to shine. Not one but two days of 1000 point plunges in the Dow Jones Industrial Average – each a record for raw point declines in the index. Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning saw volatility unleashed in a fury never seen before; the evaporation of one or more volatility-based securities causing a run on the volatility futures market. (more…)

Weekly Update

The Problem with Investing in Stocks


Published July 28, 2017

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We found Josh Brown’s thoughts on the current market interesting. It could be extrapolated to be a comment on investing much of the time.

The negatives:

The US stock market is now selling for close to a record high valuation. Volatility for the S&P 500 is currently registering record low readings. Brilliant hedge fund managers like David Einhorn are ringing the alarm bells over the worship of growth stocks without earnings. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on a $90 billion cash hoard, struggling to find reasonably valued assets to invest it in. Bonds are no bargain given today’s yields vs inflation, and that’s assuming rates are just steady – if they rise more quickly than expected, there will be some pain. (more…)