Published February 1, 2019
The dark days of December are so last year, aren’t they? A crisis of liquidity engulfed the riskier parts of the bond market leading prices to plunge. That all is forgotten now. (more…)
Trade Tariffs Hold the Key for Stocks
Published January 25, 2019
Stocks have rebounded sharply from the Christmas Eve nightmare though plenty of fog remains for investors. You will recall that the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) fell 12% over seven trading sessions in mid-December as thin holiday trading combined with rampant fears conspired to drive stocks downward. That plunge culminated in a 2%+ fall on Christmas Eve. (more…)
Markets Will Continue to Encounter Lots of Fog
Published January 18, 2019
We find the folks at Schwab, led by Liz Ann Sonders, to provide a good overview of the intersection of markets and the economy. Below is their most recent analysis – a bit lengthy. But we think it’s worthwhile. Enjoy! (more…)
Bank Loans as an Expression of Market Fears
Published January 11, 2019
While the market’s swoon in October and December was sparked by concerns of a global economic slowdown and fears that the Federal Reserve would aggressively raise interest rates thus exacerbating the slowdown, there is another worry that played into the selloff. (more…)
Where Buy and Hold Investing Theories Fail Us
Published January 4, 2019
Below are a couple of charts that provide a good overview of stock market investing from a buy and hold perspective. Note that the charts were published before the additional damage done to stocks in this month of December. (more…)
The Year in TimingCube
Published December 28, 2018
In January of this year, no one would have guessed it would end like this. (more…)
Stocks Struggle While Our Turbo Model Shines
Published December 21, 2018
As we go to press this week, a full 1/3 of the Dow Jones Industrial Average 30 stocks are in a bear market – typically defined as a decline of -20% or more. (more…)
A Market in Search of Leadership
Published December 14, 2018
2018 was supposed to be the year that financial stocks took charge. Rising interest rates were expected to provide profitable fuel for banks to substantially increase profits. Instead, financial stocks are some of the worst performers of the year. (more…)
Bonds Rip Higher as Stock Selloff Persists
Published December 7, 2018
Stock investors were reminded this week that the market remains unhealthy. After approaching a retest of this market correction’s lows a couple of weeks ago, stocks ripped higher last week to recover all of the ground given up the week before. This week began well. (more…)
A Sea of Red as Almost All Asset Classes Lose Money in 2018 (So Far)
Published November 30, 2018
Recently, the following chart has been making the rounds. It shows that a full 90% of all 70 asset classes tracked by Deutsche Bank are delivering NEGATIVE returns for 2018 (as of mid-November). (more…)