Uncategorized, Weekly Update

The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Stands Alone


Published June 29, 2018

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International and emerging market stocks have displayed disturbing action recently, failing to hold support, giving up a two-year rally, and accelerating a notable downtrend. The chart below highlights the crossover of the 50 and 200-day moving averages. We see on the left side of the chart the circle and line highlighting the prior crossover for emerging markets back in mid-2015. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Investing is an exercise in controlling our emotions


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Published June 22, 2018

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Here at TimingCube we are dedicated to using models to drive our investing decisions.  We recognize that investing our hard-earned money is really an exercise in regulating our emotions.  We are constantly faced with a constant flow of noise and information, much of which can cause us to make poor money decisions.  Our models don’t hear that noise.

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Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Consumer stocks drive the market higher


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Published June 15, 2018

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Our favored Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) has been marching strongly upward, along with the small-cap Russell 2000, breaking to new highs and continuing to find buyers.  Unlike 2017, however, this market strength is not so broad-based.  International stocks have been flat, with the rising U.S. dollar keeping the pressure on those indexes.

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Uncategorized, Weekly Update

An overview of economic and market pros and cons


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Published June 7, 2018

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The summer heat has arrived in force here in Austin over the past couple of weeks.  Our focus Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) index has also been hot, emerging from a three-month market correction to break out to new highs recently.  The commentary below from the team at Charles Schwab does a good job of outlining some of the major positives and negatives the market wrestles with these days.  We hope you find it informative.
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Uncategorized, Weekly Update

On Secular Markets and Demographic Shifts


Published June 1, 2018

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It was a wild week on Wall Street. For a summary of those happenings, see our market commentary at the bottom of this article. For this week’s blog, we are stepping way back from the day-to-day of markets. Below is Jill Mislinski’s survey of secular market trends coupled with an overview of demographic shifts that may have a significant impact on how the economy evolves in the coming decades. We hope you find it interesting. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

The Nasdaq Looks for Fuel to Break Out


Published May 25, 2018

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Technical analysis is the examination of supply and demand for stocks, usually expressed in chart form. The charts can help us see at what price buyers step in to support a stock – e.g. at what price the market shows overwhelming interest in buying; at what price sellers overwhelm buyers and drive the stock back down. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Revisiting How a Market Rally Begins and Sustains – 2017


Published May 18, 2018

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This week we bring you a revisit to a prior article from January 2017. Recall that in January 2017 we were in the early days of the new Trump administration. Stocks had popped higher on expectations for a more business-friendly government (and later continued higher on a surge in corporate earnings and a rare (and brief?) period of synchronized global economic growth). (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

The Battle for the Market’s Next Move Is Happening Now


Published May 4, 2018

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Frequent stock market participants pay close attention when the price of the stock market indexes approaches the 200-day moving average. This trendline is seen as defining whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend. With the proliferation of mechanical computer-driven trading, trading based on trendlines and other technical chart-based indicators has become quite prevalent. (more…)