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Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Economic Data Weakening Here and There


Published June 7, 2019

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After struggling for the month of May, this week the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) accelerated its momentum downward and took a decidedly bearish turn. The stock market trades on perceptions for the future health of the economy and corporate earnings. Those perceptions have been skewed negative by the battles in trade. However, the stock market is beginning to get more and more data suggesting that weakness ahead is more than just a result of a change in perception. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Smallcap Stocks Fail to Find Buyers


Published May 31, 2019

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At the beginning of this month of May we concluded our weekly blog with the following:

“Were smaller, riskier stocks to find strength, it would be a real boost to the market’s rally effort as there is clearly some “wall of worry” built into this market.”

By the end of the month, the market’s answer was clear: there would be no boost from small and midcap stocks. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Investors Are Reminded How Critical the China Trade Deal Is


Published May 10, 2019

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After weeks of calm, stocks were rattled this week as the expected trade agreement between the U.S. and China appeared to encounter serious pressure. Entering the month of May, the Trump Administration was encouraging investors with comments that the agreement was in the “final laps” with “productive” meetings being held. However, this week the tone out of the Administration changed dramatically. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Fuel for the Next Leg of the Rally


Published May 3, 2019

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Recent headlines tell us the “stock market” has returned to record high levels. We put that in quotes because closer observers of the broader universe of stocks will tell you that it’s predominantly the larger companies whose stocks have moved higher. The indexes of midcap and smallcap companies remain well below their highs of last September. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Time for Caution?


Published April 12, 2019

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Below is a recent market and economic commentary from the folks at Schwab. As with many of their comments this year, they remain quite cautious on the stock market despite its run higher. Here, they explain what they see that causes them some pause: (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Oh That Inversion? No Big Deal


Published April 5, 2019

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Markets have very quickly put behind them the whole inverted yield curve fear. It lasted all of a couple of days. The cold water was poured on that fear when Chinese manufacturing posted a surprisingly high reading, reversing months of declines. (more…)