Yield Curve

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

The Dreaded Yield Curve Inversion


Published August 16, 2019

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Like a surfer bounced by wave upon wave, investors were hit this week by a second wave. After a one day burst of market joy as the Trump Administration dialed back the September 1st imposition of trade tariffs, the U.S. Treasury bond market was rocked by a deeper reduction in yields. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Higher Interest Rates Won’t Kill the Stock Market


Published March 2, 2018

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This week we share some good information from a webcast given by Charlie Bilello of Pension Partners. The first chart shows the downward trend of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Note the green arrows as the yield hits the upper portion of the channel. We are sitting right at the top of the channel. Do we want to see yields break through to the upside? (more…)