Author: fdacic

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

When the Market Is Correcting


Published March 30, 2018

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Stock markets move up and down as information and emotion is reflected in the prices of company shares. Here at TimingCube we seek to use this up and down movement of the stock market to generate exceptional returns while protecting against significant downside risk. How much do stocks move? (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Sell in May, but Only Every Few Years


Published March 23, 2018

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The theory of “sell in May and go away” is well-known in investment circles. Here is a summary of the theory from CNBC’s Bob Pisani:

It’s that time again: May. Springtime, and time to revisit that old adage — sell in May and go away.
I’ve written many times about this, probably the most famous of Wall Street saws, so I’ll keep this short. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Broad Stock Indexes Are Not yet Strong Enough to Push Higher


Published March 16, 2018

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Last week we highlighted some of the sectors that were showing unusual strength in the market. We have pointed out how our favored Nasdaq 100 index (QQQ) has been leading the market. This week we will look at some of the other broad market indexes to give you a sense that this is still a market, broadly, that is digesting its low-volatility 2017 gains. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Higher Interest Rates Won’t Kill the Stock Market


Published March 2, 2018

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This week we share some good information from a webcast given by Charlie Bilello of Pension Partners. The first chart shows the downward trend of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Note the green arrows as the yield hits the upper portion of the channel. We are sitting right at the top of the channel. Do we want to see yields break through to the upside? (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

The Bear Awakens and TimingCube Responds Well


Published February 9, 2018

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After two years of nearly non-stop gains punctuated by a vertical ascent to kick off 2018, the stock market finally ran out of gas this week. Those two years brought investors a +60% return in the S&P 500 and a +75% rise in our focus Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) index. This rally was of historic length and ease, with volatility dormant. This week, the bears got their long-awaited time to shine. Not one but two days of 1000 point plunges in the Dow Jones Industrial Average – each a record for raw point declines in the index. Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning saw volatility unleashed in a fury never seen before; the evaporation of one or more volatility-based securities causing a run on the volatility futures market. (more…)

Uncategorized

Humans Are Built to Be Bad Investors


Published February 2, 2018

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This week we offer a post on the psychology of investing from Urban Carmel’s blog. The emotional challenges presented here are a major reason why we at TimingCube strongly prefer our quantitative models that REMOVE the emotion from our investing decisions. (more…)

Uncategorized, Weekly Update

Biotech Joins the Nasdaq Par


Published January 26, 2018

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Almost a full eleven months ago we wrote about a coming change of fortune for biotech stocks.  It appeared back in March 2017 that the group, after 18 months of pain and an almost 50% plunge in price, was about to launch a new bullish period.  It took quite a bit longer than expected, but we are pleased to announce that this week the group finally achieved full-out liftoff! (more…)