Stocks are looking forward

Weekly Update

Stocks are Looking Forward


Published October 16, 2020

The stock market has a pretty good track record for determining who will win a presidential election.  The indicator looks at the market return over the three months leading up to the election.  A positive return suggests a win for the incumbent.  The data below, going back to 1928, shows an 87% success rate for the stock market in picking the ultimate election victor.
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