stagflation

Weekly Update

Investors Hit Reset

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Published 28 February, 2025

 

This week we start with a quick note about the sources of our weekly content since some of you have asked. We are trend-following mechanical/quantitative model investors. Since we are focused on technical analysis and the data behind the market, we often turn to other experts for analysis of the fundamentals of the economy, business, and markets. With few exceptions, those experts are money managers in charge of billions of dollars of assets, pension funds, mutual funds, hedge funds, et al. These are the types of folks who move markets. As a result, we take their views seriously and strive to present them without edit. (more…)

Weekly Update

The Market Bottoms Well Before the Economy Does

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Published October 21, 2022

 

These days, there is much talk about a coming recession. By the time the recession gets here, if it does, the stock market will have already suffered much of its decline and will be near its low point. The article below from an analyst at JP Morgan presents a historical perspective of the timing between recessions and stock market bottoms. (more…)

Weekly Update

The Storm Below the Market’s Surface

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Published October 8, 2021

Markets have clearly been gripped by uncertainty over the past month as interest rates have risen while concerns about government funding and China have called into question the trajectory of the economic recovery. Below is a portion of an excellent overview from Schwab’s Liz Ann Sonders on the noisy information facing investors these days. (more…)