Seasonality

Weekly Update

Stocks are Looking Forward


Published October 16, 2020

The stock market has a pretty good track record for determining who will win a presidential election.  The indicator looks at the market return over the three months leading up to the election.  A positive return suggests a win for the incumbent.  The data below, going back to 1928, shows an 87% success rate for the stock market in picking the ultimate election victor.
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Weekly Update

Tis the Season


Published July 14, 2017

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As many of our subscribers are interested in various stock market strategies, and timing strategies more specifically, we thought you might enjoy this article from Dana Lyons.

“Seasonality in stock investing is a tricky thing. In one way, some of the most profitable and reliable timing systems are those which depend only upon seasonality. On the other hand, emotionally and rationally, they are extraordinarily difficult to implement, at least exclusively. (more…)