Published November 21, 2025
Last week’s drop in the stock market unnerved investors as it was the second such drop in a month’s time. Nonetheless, the major stock market indexes remained in good shape holding their intermediate-term trendlines. This week though lines have been further challenged. (more…)
Published March 8, 2024
Below we present an overview of the market from a sector perspective written by Delta Research followed by a few snippets from Blaine Rollins’ newsletter detailing where inflation remains sticky among a couple of positive signs for investors. Enjoy the ride while it lasts! (more…)
Published September 15, 2023
With our focus on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), we do not actively invest in bonds in our models. However, we know that many of our subscribers do. Below we offer the latest output from Delta Research. We hope you find it of interest.
“The iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) representing investment grade, U.S. corporate debt was down -1.77% in 2021 and -13.02% in 2022. 2022 was by far its worst performance year ever. Never before has the AGG suffered from two sequential down years. The rolling 5, 3 and 1-year average annual returns of the AGG are 0.39%, -4.69% and -0.36%, respectively. An investor might expect bonds to bounce back after such negative performance. The index is up only 0.9% year-to-date, a significant disappointment. (more…)
Published June 2, 2023
As the megacap stocks fueling the rise of the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) continue to rocket upward, investors can easily believe the bear market beginning sometime late 2021/early 2022 is over. The fly in the ointment here is that the vast majority of stocks in the market are not participating in the uptrend. Below, the team at Schwab provides good information around this topic. (more…)
Published January 13, 2023
Stocks have been moving higher. What began in Europe, spread to China, and is now beginning to show up elsewhere. Here are some charts displaying the shift in market tone in these areas. First up, a clear uptrend has formed over the past 3+ months in Europe. Fears of a natural gas shortage during the winter simply did not materialize. (more…)
Published December 9, 2022
The 2023 market outlooks are beginning to flow. Below is an overview of next year possibilities put together by Delta.
“Since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC, 2008-09), the stock market trended higher on low interest rates, double digit GDP growth in China, and robust non-cyclical growth from the major technology companies. What would happen if the Fed Funds rate jumped from zero to 4% in a single year? What would happen if China’s GDP growth became hobbled by non-stop Covid lockdowns? What would happen if big-cap technology stocks stopped offering consistent earnings growth and became the worst performing major segment of the U.S. stock market? (more…)
Published February 25, 2022
This week’s acceleration of market turmoil had us reaching back into the bag for a little history. Below is a table of single-day declines in the S&P 500. First, note how clustered these selloffs are; all but one taking place around three major events – the global financial crisis, the pandemic, and 1987 market crash. (more…)
Published January 7, 2022
Markets have kicked off 2022 with a bit of a bang. Interest rates have surged higher as investors bet that the Federal Reserve will act quickly to tamp down nascent inflation and return interest rates to their pre-pandemic levels. (more…)
Published November 19, 2021
Here at TimingCube we are focused on the Nasdaq 100 index, trading with the symbol QQQ. This index typically contains the most innovative and “high tech” companies in the stock market with a strong bent toward technology and consumer services. Schwab recently posted an article outlining the pros and cons of the broad tech sector, which has a very high correlation to the QQQ. We thought you might find it interesting. (more…)
Published November 12, 2021
This week’s inflation numbers put a little (temporary?) scare in the markets. But the one-day jump in interest rates did not even offset the past two weeks’ worth of yield declines. (more…)