investors pessimistic

Weekly Update

Were Investors Too Pessimistic?


Published April 17, 2026

 

Delta Research thinks so. The stock market’s historic move over the past 10 days has caught many investors off guard. For the first time in many moons, retail investors did NOT buy March’s sharp dip in stocks. As we’ve noted in other articles, the specter of private credit defaults, AI rampaging through the software industry, and, lastly, a war that brought oil and gas transport to a near halt were a combination of fears that pummeled the psyches of investors. It was, then, remarkable that the stock market was down only -10%. Are there more shoes to drop in the future? Or was this, like last year’s “tariff tantrum” a quick flush of bearishness in an upward sea of bullish market behavior? Time will tell. (more…)

Weekly Update

Late Cycle Economics and a Stagnant Market


Published April 21, 2023

 

Fidelity provided an update on where they see global economics this week. The nation’s largest administrator of 401k plans finds much of the world in late-cycle growth mode where credit gets tighter, earnings struggle, and economic growth slows. The next step is recession, which is what the vast majority of the economic watchers have been projecting for some time now. (more…)