excitement over AI

Weekly Update

Hot Stocks Power First Half Index Returns


Published July 5, 2024

Below, we offer Delta’s analysis of the top S&P 500 stocks year-to-date. The index has become increasingly over-weighted to the top six stocks in the market. Those six stocks now account for 30% of the index. This concentration has come from two factors: excitement over AI and the fact that megacap tech is regarded as a defensive position in the face of economic slowdowns. Thus, these high-growth stocks, with massive financial resources, have become the “safe” place to be in the market. You want economic growth, buy these stocks. You want safety, buy these stocks. That investment approach continues to work to the benefit of our favored Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) index. (more…)

Weekly Update

An Overbought, Concentrated Market


Published June 14, 2024

 

Below is a good overview of the state of the stock market from MarketWatch and Apollo.

“Twenty-nine. That’s how many new records the S&P 500 SPX has registered so far in 2024, having closed at a new peak on Thursday (though lower futures on Friday suggest it may not make 30 this session).

Hopes for interest rate cuts later this year and excitement over AI have helped propel the bull run.

And yet, there are many reasons to be wary right now, say the bears. First, an obvious short-term technical one. The 14-day relative strength index of the Nasdaq 100 NDX, whose big tech constituents have been powering the rally, has moved up to 77.5, well above the overbought threshold of 70. (more…)