energy stocks

Weekly Update

Are International Stocks Turning the Corner?


Published January 6, 2023

 

After the dot.com market crash of 2000-2002, international stocks went on to outperform U.S. stocks until the 2008 Great Financial Crisis. That rise was driven by two factors: 1) the “buildout” of China which pushed any and all commodity-related stocks (e.g. industrials, materials thus emerging markets) higher, and 2) the decline in the dot.com darlings which had become outrageously priced.

It usually happens that the leader of the market in one cycle becomes the laggard in the next as the excess is worked off. So it was post-2002 as the chart below shows with the black line highlighting the period where international stocks outperformed. (more…)

Weekly Update

Will Commodities Continue Leading the Market?


Published May 20, 2022

 

Do you remember a couple of years ago in the height of Covid fear when the price of oil went negative?  The global economy shut down. The world was suddenly awash in oil. And there was no place to store it. Nobody wanted the excess oil barrels. Holders of oil had to pay someone to take the excess off their hands – a negative oil price. Things have dramatically changed since then as the price of oil has skyrocketed to as high as $130 per barrel. (more…)