2-year Treasury Yield

Weekly Update

Earnings Yield


Published November 3, 2023

 

Below is a brief discussion from Delta Research on the risk premium that stocks are currently offering. With U.S. Treasury bonds (aka the “no risk” asset) yielding 5%+, for the first time in years, bonds are a solid competitor to stocks.

Investors buy “risky” assets because they believe the excess return will be sufficiently attractive to make the risky asset a better-buy than the low/no-risk asset. All investing requires predictions about the future and as a result, an element of risk. To improve the likelihood of achieving attractive portfolio returns, we use probabilities and math to form calculated risk expectations about future returns. (more…)

Weekly Update

Inflation Is Rolling Over but So Too Are Corporate Earnings(?).


Published September 30, 2022

 

Blaine Rollins outlines the key questions facing investors these days. Here are some excerpts from his recent commentary:

“You can see the light at the end, but how much risk will you take to run down to the other end? Big returns await if you can only make it to the other side. But there is always the possibility that you make it part way and the train called ‘recession’ interrupts your path. (more…)